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Our Recent Productions

Datasets, working papers, and peer-reviewed articles produced by MultiObs researchers.

Showing 81–100 of 102

  1. Working Paper2026Open Access
    Opening the Black Box of Grant Peer Review: Exploratory Analysis of Linguistic and Sentiment Signals in Funding Outcomes(opens in a new tab)

    Bin, Adriana; Pinto, Daniela Maciel; Pereira, Cesar A. Guimarães; Cristofoletti, Evandro Coggo; Mena-Chalco, Jesus Paschoal; Salles Filho, Sérgio; Sugimoto, Cassidy R.

    Peer review plays a central role in research funding decisions, yet the evaluative language used in review reports remains insufficiently explored, particularly in funding agencies. This study examines how linguistic and sentiment characteristics of peer-review reports relate to funding outcomes at the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), Brazil, focusing on the Regular Research Grant (RRG) and Young Investigator Grant (YIG) schemes between 2000 and 2017. Drawing on 19,333 proposals and their corresponding review reports, we analyze three aggregated corpora — overall reports, proposal-related reports, and applicant track-record reports — using natural language processing and sentiment analysis. We compare approved and rejected proposals across fields of knowledge, reviewer gender, applicant gender, and peer-review report sections. Results show that reviewers use distinct textual and sentiment patterns when justifying approval or rejection. These patterns vary according to the section evaluated — applicant track record or technical proposal — and also differ by field of knowledge and, more locally, by reviewer–applicant gender configurations. The pattern is more regular and stable in RRG than in YIG. Overall, the findings show how evaluative language illuminates fairness, consistency, and transparency in grant peer review.

  2. Working Paper2026Open Access
    Global research funding flows according to available grant data in Dimensions(opens in a new tab)

    Dudek, Jonathan; Ni, Rong; van Honk, Jeroen; Ding, Gabrielle; Bovenzi, Nicandro; Durán-Silva, Nicolau; Ràfols, Ismael; Costas, Rodrigo

    While most research funding is national, international funding plays a relatively important role, particularly for some regions of the Global South. However, the extent of funding flows between world regions remains unclear. This study represents a first attempt to map global research funding flows based on a set of grant metadata from Dimensions, augmented with data from the Gates Foundation and the European Commission (CORDIS). We find major regional gaps in the data outside of the leading scientific regions. With the data currently available, we find that Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa are the biggest recipients of inter-regional funding, with North America as main funder, and that over the last 25 years, total annual research funding has grown to above USD 60 billion, while inter-regional funding flows have stagnated at around USD 1.6 billion per year. These insights are contingent on data availability, raising the urgency for improving funding metadata infrastructures.

  3. Working Paper2026Open Access
    Exploring the use of funding acknowledgments for mapping global research funding flows(opens in a new tab)

    Ni, Rong; van Honk, Jeroen; Dudek, Jonathan; Ding, Gabrielle; Ràfols, Ismael; Costas, Rodrigo

    Funding acknowledgments (FAs) provide a potential but underexplored source for mapping global research funding flows. This study develops a framework for constructing global funding flow measures using FA data from Dimensions and assesses both the opportunities and limitations of this approach. We compare total and inter-regional funding flows based on funding grant information available in FAs of scientific publications. Our analysis identifies a key limitation arising from collaborative publications, where funding is attributed at the publication level rather than to individual authors. This obscures the interpretation of cross-border funding flows. We show that this attribution structure introduces systematic ambiguity and limits the validity of FA-based analyses. We argue that disaggregated, author-level funding attribution is essential for accurately tracing funding flows. This requires coordinated action among funders, publishers, and researchers, as well as the adoption of more standardized, machine-readable FAs formats.

  4. Working Paper2026Open Access
    The benefits and challenges of understanding funding flows in the Global South(opens in a new tab)

    Ràfols, Ismael

    This is a position paper (still as a work-in-progress) with the main insights of the project "Tracking Research Funding Flows in the Global South" funded by IDRC and presented in the Wellcome Trust in the workshop 'Mapping research funding flows for global alignment and impact' on 23rd of April 2026. The full list of contributors to the project is included in the document. A long and a short presentation of this position paper are also attached as powerpoint files. A recording of the long presentation in the centre CENIT of the Universidad San Martín de Buenos Aires, in Spanish, is available here.

  5. Article2026Open Access
    User Experience Evaluation in Non-Immersive 3D Digital Environments Using Facial Emotion Recognition(opens in a new tab)

    Veríscimo, Erico de Souza; Bernardes Júnior, João Luiz; Digiampietri, Luciano A.

    User experience (UX) is fundamental for the acceptance and use of information systems. Although there are well-known and widely used UX evaluation techniques for traditional interfaces, a literature review revealed several gaps regarding UX evaluation in non-immersive 3D interaction. One significant gap is the predominant use of pragmatic criteria in assessments, while another is the lack of an approach that evaluates hedonic aspects using facial emotion recognition. This work proposes an approach for automatically evaluating user experience in non-immersive three-dimensional environments, focusing on its hedonic aspects based on facial emotion recognition. An experimental protocol was developed and approved by the Ethics Committee. The experiment was conducted with 52 participants. Throughout the testing period (before, during, and after the interaction), participants' faces were recorded using a low-cost camera. The experiment involved participants playing a game and answering questionnaires, including categorization and mood profile instruments, as well as the UEQ-S and the PLEX Framework. The Face-api.js library was used for facial emotion recognition. The hypothesis that automatic facial emotion recognition can support user experience evaluation was confirmed. This method enabled the estimation of UEQ-S and PLEX questionnaire responses with an average error of approximately ±1 point using only emotion extraction through an artificial intelligence model. Given that UX evaluation is crucial for the acceptance of new software or functionality, this work contributes to improving system quality and acceptance.

  6. Article2026Open Access
    Beyond the Oligopoly: Scholarly Journal Publishing Landscapes in Latin America and Europe(opens in a new tab)

    Kulczycki, Emanuel; Gamboa, José Octavio Alonso; Beigel, Fernanda; Digiampietri, Luciano A.; Laakso, Mikael; Pölönen, Janne; Taşkın, Zehra; Cuartas, Gabriel Vélez

    Purpose This study investigates the diversity of national scholarly journal publishing ecosystems in seven countries across Europe and Latin America: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Finland, Mexico, Poland, and Türkiye. It challenges the common perception that global scholarly publishing is dominated by international commercial publishers by examining national publishing structures beyond English speaking contexts. Design/methodology/approach Using ISSN Centre data and national sources, we analyse journal-level publishing structures rather than article- or citation-level outputs. Publishers were categorized according to their institutional and organizational characteristics. The analysis focuses on active journals, defined as those with a recorded start year and no identified termination date. Journal coverage in Web of Science, Scopus, and OpenAlex was examined to assess how national publishing landscapes are represented in major bibliometric databases. Findings Educational institutions emerge as the primary publishers in most countries, representing more than 75 % of journals in Colombia and Brazil and more than 50 % in Mexico, Argentina, and Poland. Finland stands out, with scientific and professional associations leading journal publication at 62 %. Commercial publishers hold comparatively small shares, reaching their highest levels in Türkiye at 12.1 % and Poland at 8.2 %. In terms of database representation, OpenAlex indexes over half of the journals in most countries, whereas Web of Science (WoS) and Scopus cover only a small portion. Research limitations The study relies on ISSN and national datasets, which differ in completeness and standardization. Variations in national reporting practices and database indexing policies may influence coverage comparisons. As the analysis is based on currently active journals, historical trends reflect surviving journals only. Practical implications The results provide evidence for policymakers, database providers, and research evaluators to recognize the diversity of national publishing systems. They highlight the importance of improving data sources and analytical approaches to ensure more accurate assessment of scholarly communication outside heavily commercialized environments. Originality/value The study offers a comparative analysis of national journal publishing ecosystems across seven countries, revealing structural differences that challenge the assumption of a globally uniform publishing model. It underscores the need for bibliometric research frameworks that include and accurately represent national and regional publishing structures.

  7. Working Paper2026Open Access
    CWTS Engagement & Inclusion focal area strategic plan 2026-2028(opens in a new tab)

    area, CWTS Engagement & Inclusion focal; de Bordes, Carole; Costas, Rodrigo; Holtrop, Tjitske; Traag, Vincent

    This document outlines the strategic plan for the Engagement & Inclusion focal area at the Centre for Science and Technology Studies (CWTS) at Leiden University for the period 2026–2028, presenting the focal area’s vision, long-term strategic impacts, and operational objectives developed through collaborative discussions among members and coordinators.

  8. Working Paper2026Open Access
    A global map of science according to a topic model of EU grants(opens in a new tab)

    Vidal, Adrià Plazas; Bovenzi, Nicandro; Durán-Silva, Nicolau; Martí, Enric Fuster; Ràfols, Ismael

    Since their appearance in the 1980s, global maps of science have proved useful to locate the relative position of topics and organisations in large scientific landscapes, providing strategic information for portfolio analyses in science policy. At this global level (global meaning here ‘all disciplines’), these maps have been based on publications and have mostly used citations to build the relationship between scientific fields. Here, we present a comprehensive scientific map based on grant data that uses semantic analyses (BERT-based topic modelling) to provide the overall landscape of science based on grant data from the European Union since 2003 (since the 6th framework programme). We find a disciplinary structure which is consistent with the circular shape of publication and citation based global science maps. However, this grant map shows a much larger presence of applied science and mission-oriented research, such as engineering and sustainability sciences. We provide examples of how this landscape can be used as a baseline to explore the specialisation of territories (regions), organisations (universities) and funding programmes.

  9. Article2026Open Access
    Entrepreneurial Ecosystem Conditions and Sustainable Value Creation: Predictive Evidence From Knowledge‐Intensive Ventures in São Paulo, Brazil(opens in a new tab)

    Vicentin, Damaris Chieregato; de Moraes, Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes; Fischer, Bruno Brandão; Eustachio, João Henrique Paulino Pires; Leal Filho, Walter

    Funded by CNPq, CAPES, FAPESP

    Entrepreneurial ecosystems (EEs) are systems shaping innovation and sustainable development, yet limited evidence exists on the relative predictive contribution of their components to sustainable value creation. This study examines associations between six EE dimensions and environmental, social and economic value creation among 245 knowledge‐intensive ventures supported by the PIPE programme of the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), Brazil. Using cross‐sectional, self‐reported survey data, composite indices were constructed through the CRITIC method and analysed with machine‐learning models, Monte Carlo repeated holdout validation and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Regression performance was modest, and classification performance was moderate. Within the selected predictors and this sample, cultural conditions showed the highest mean absolute SHAP importance across all outcomes, whereas the remaining dimensions varied. These results provide context‐bound predictive evidence, not causal inference or a universal hierarchy. The study contributes an interpretable framework for comparing ecosystem dimensions in a specific Brazilian regional and institutional setting.

  10. Article2026Open Access
    Between linkage and return: the engagement strategies of the Knowledge Brazil Program for the scientific diaspora(opens in a new tab)

    Cavasin, Mariana Luiza Castilho; Carneiro, Ana Maria

    Funded by CAPES

    In recent decades, countries of origin have increasingly sought to develop policies to engage with their scientific diaspora. These policy designs typically vary across models of repatriation, linkage, and circulation, aiming to strengthen national science, technology and innovation (STI) systems. This article analyses the design and early implementation of the Knowledge Brazil Program to identify the strategies prioritized by the Brazilian state in engaging with its scientific diaspora. The study is based on document analysis, program microdata, and media sources, including news reports and opinion articles from widely circulated outlets. The findings are synthesized through a SWOT analysis, identifying strengths in the program's design, which incorporates the three core components of diaspora engagement—repatriation, linkage, and circulation; weaknesses in the asymmetry between the program's axes, with a clear emphasis on repatriation; opportunities in the diaspora's willingness to contribute to the national STI system; and threats related to concerns regarding the absorption of researchers into academia after the program's completion.

  11. Article2026Open Access
    Interoperability between local and global databases in scientometrics: lattes, CAPES, and OpenAlex(opens in a new tab)

    Mazoni, Alysson; Borges, Luís; Macedo, Estevão Fernandes; Tuesta, Esteban Fernández; Mena‐Chalco, Jesús Pascual

    Funded by CAPES, FAPESP, UNICAMP

    Disambiguating research entities remains a long-standing methodological problem in scientometric analyses, as inconsistencies and ambiguous metadata limit the interoperability of major bibliographic databases. While global systems such as OpenAlex provide extensive coverage, they often lack the granularity and accuracy provided by national-level research databases. This study proposes a large-scale methodology to enhance author and institutional disambiguation by integrating local (Lattes and CAPES) and global (OpenAlex) databases. The method combines shared Digital Object Identifiers with an adapted Levenshtein distance algorithm to handle variations in author and institutional names across multilingual research databases, achieving over 97% accuracy for authors and 64% for institutions. The proposed framework provides a scalable and replicable approach for entity disambiguation in tabular research databases. Beyond the Brazilian context, this integration strategy offers a globally applicable approach for harmonizing national research information systems with open scientometric infrastructures.

  12. Article2026Open Access
    From Andes to the dry diagonal: phylogenomics and trait evolution elucidate the radiation of cacti in South American drylands(opens in a new tab)

    Romeiro‐Brito, Monique; Lanna, Flávia M.; Telhe, Milena C.; Carstens, Bryan C.; Digiampietri, Luciano A.; Zappi, Daniela C.; Taylor, Nigel P.; Franco, Fernando F; Moraes, Evandro Marsola

    Funded by CNPq, FAPESP, NSF

    The expansion of arid and dry ecosystems during the Miocene played a key role in the diversification of succulent plants; however, the relative contributions of biotic traits and environmental factors linked to aridity remain unclear. We investigate diversification in the cactus tribe Cereeae by integrating phylogenomic, biogeographic, and trait-based diversification analyses. We reconstructed a time-calibrated phylogeny and inferred ancestral ranges through biogeographic process-based modeling. We assessed diversification rate heterogeneity and evaluated the impacts of biotic traits and environmental variables using machine learning and trait-dependent diversification analyses. Our results indicate that Cereeae diverged in the late Miocene (∼9 Ma), with ancestral range spanning from the Central and Southern Andes to Espinhaço Mountain Range in Southeastern Brazil. Vicariance events, likely driven by marine transgressions and the assembly of the Cerrado savanna, promoted isolation of taxa across the Andes and Southeastern Brazil. Eastern Brazil was recolonized via jump dispersal during the Miocene-Pliocene transition. Diversification rates were strongly associated with rupicolous substrate preference and globose growth form, while environmental variables showed a negligible correlation with diversification. Our findings underscore the Southern Andes as a likely source of xerophytic lineages and highlight ecological specialization as the dominant driver of Cereeae radiation. This study demonstrates how integrative approaches can disentangle complex evolutionary processes, revealing that morphological innovation prevailed over environmental filtering in shaping the diversification of Cereeae in dry habitats.

  13. Working Paper2026Open Access
    Bringing public attention to disease into global health priority-setting(opens in a new tab)

    Arroyo‐Machado, Wenceslao; Ràfols, Ismael; Díaz‐Faes, Adrián A.

    Funded by Agencia Estatal de Investigación, European Commission

    Background A central concern in global health priority-setting is whether the supply of scientific knowledge aligns with health needs and demands. This alignment is usually assessed by comparing research effort with disease burden, overlooking other type of “social demand” of disease, in particular whether diseases are socially visible and generate public attention. We develop an analytical framework that treats public attention and epidemiological burden as complementary dimensions of health demand and examines their alignment with knowledge supply. Methods We combine data on publications indexed in OpenAlex, disability-adjusted life years from the Global Burden of Disease, and Wikipedia pageviews for 2016 to 2023, as indicators of research effort, disease burden, and public attention, respectively. We map 19 disease groups and 138 specific diseases across these three dimensions. Ternary plots are used to position diseases according to their relative balance across dimensions and to identify diseases that are over- or under-represented in research effort relative to epidemiological burden and public attention. We compare Global North-South patterns using German, Persian, Swahili, and Vietnamese language areas to assess how these relationships vary across territories. Results The three dimensions show limited alignment. At the disease group level, cardiovascular diseases account for the largest share of disease burden, mental disorders attract the largest share of public attention, and neoplasms concentrate the largest share of research effort. Public attention and disease burden are weakly correlated at both group and specific disease levels, indicating that Wikipedia pageviews and DALYs capture distinct dimensions of health demand. Ternary plots reveal different forms of misalignment, with some diseases showing plots dominated by burden, others by research effort, and others by public attention. Territorial analyses add a further layer by showing that diseases follow disparate patterns of supply-demand (mis)alignment across different linguistic territories. Conclusions Public attention provides a complementary dimension for mapping global health needs and demands. Our approach identifies where scientific knowledge supply fails to match epidemiological and/or public attention, supporting more nuanced global health analysis that may be useful for priority-setting.

  14. Working Paper2026Open Access
    What does the literature says about international mobility and its impacts on different spheres of academic careers?(opens in a new tab)

    Gimenez, Ana Maria Nunes; Carneiro, Ana Maria; Bezerra, Luiza Maria Capanema; Fredo, Carlos Eduardo; Ferreira, Carolina Mendes B.; Lopes, Larissa Aparecida Prevato

    Funded by FAPESP

    Given the growing strategic importance of international mobility for funding agencies and higher education institutions, this study presents a mapping review of scientific articles published from 2013 to 2022 and indexed in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. Its aim is to identify the predominant themes, the geographical and temporal patterns of knowledge production in this field, the methodologies employed, and the main research gaps. The analysis involved a careful selection of articles, followed by an examination of abstracts and full texts, thematic categorization, and data interpretation. The results show that, despite the hegemony of Global North countries as centers of knowledge production and as preferred destinations for international mobility, new actors—namely China, India, Singapore, and South Korea—have been reshaping the global landscape. Nevertheless, there remains limited research on gender and racial inequalities, pointing to gaps that may inform future studies.

  15. Article2026Open Access
    Funding, authorship patterns, and citation impact of articles funded by Ukrainian agencies before and during Russia’s full-scale war (2020–2023)(opens in a new tab)

    Hladchenko, Myroslava; Costas, Rodrigo

    Funded by European Commission

    This study explores the funding, authorship patterns, and citation impact of articles funded by the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (MESU), the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (NASU), and the National Research Foundation of Ukraine (NRFU). The analysis focuses on articles published in Scopus-indexed journals in 2020–2023. The study findings revealed that the share of articles funded by these agencies increased from 8.6% in 2020–2021 to 11.9% in 2022–2023. Foreign cofunding, international coauthorship, and foreign coaffiliations were consistently associated with higher citation impact. In 2022–2023, foreign coaffiliations had a positive effect on the citation impact of MESU-funded articles, with FNCI exceeding that of articles cofunded by MESU and foreign agencies. In 2020–2021, NASU-funded articles had only a modest advantage in citation impact over unfunded articles. In 2022–2023, this pattern changed, with unfunded articles slightly exceeding NASU-funded articles in overall citation impact. Among articles with foreign coaffiliations and international coauthorship, unfunded articles exhibited a citation advantage over NASU-funded articles, while the citation impact of articles with Ukrainian affiliations was broadly similar. These findings raise questions about the effectiveness of current research evaluation criteria and funding allocation mechanisms and underscore the need for evidence-based reform of Ukraine’s research funding system.

  16. Article2026Open Access
    Studying the scientific diaspora: going beyond bibliometric methods(opens in a new tab)

    Carneiro, Ana Maria; Pereira, Cesar A. Guimarães; Meireles, Flavia; Romolo, Renata

    Funded by FAPESP, UNICAMP

    The international mobility of highly qualified scientists has drawn increasing attention from researchers and policymakers, especially regarding scientific diaspora networks. These networks enable exchange of knowledge and technology and academic collaboration, benefiting sending and receiving countries. Bibliometric methods have been widely used to track academic mobility flows, analyzing institutional affiliations and collaboration patterns. However, such methods have limitations for investigating the scientific diaspora, as they do not allow the identification of researchers’ nationality or birthplace. The aim of this article is to propose a multi-method approach to overcome these limitations, combining bibliometric techniques with supplemental sources, such as academic CV, institutional databases, and qualitative information. We applied this methodology to study scientific collaborations on COVID-19 involving the Brazilian scientific diaspora from 2020 to 2022, a period characterized by intense international cooperation. This analysis included variables such as gender, academic background, professional activity, and co-authorship patterns. Results show that the proposed approach enables more robust identification of diaspora researchers and their interactions with Brazil, which can provide relevant insights for science policies and engagement strategies of the diaspora. We conclude that the combination of bibliometric and qualitative data is essential for a better understanding of academic mobility and scientific diaspora dynamics, thereby contributing to the development of more effective policies for managing highly qualified human capital.

  17. Article2026
    Beyond institutional age and size: what drives innovation-related performance in Brazilian Federal Universities(opens in a new tab)

    Ferrero, Luciane Graziele Pereira; Salles Filho, Sérgio; Bin, Adriana; Cabral, Bernardo Pereira; Rezende, Marcos Candido de Paula

    Funded by FAPESP

    Universities contribute to innovation systems through scientific production, intellectual property protection, technology transfer, and academic–corporate collaboration. Innovation-related outputs depend on combinations of organizational, institutional, and research-related conditions rather than isolated variables. This article examines innovation-related performance in Brazilian federal universities using data from 69 institutions collected by the Brazilian Office of the Comptroller General. The study analyzes intellectual property assets, technology transfer rate, and patent-cited scholarly output through descriptive statistics, correlation analyses, and fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA). The findings show that academic–corporate collaboration is the most consistent condition associated with stronger innovation-related performance. Internal regulation enables intellectual property generation and technology transfer, while field-weighted citation impact is particularly relevant for patent-cited scholarly output. Institutional age is not a linear predictor of innovation-related performance, as younger universities appear prominently in normalized indicators. The article provides configurational evidence from a public higher education system in an emerging economy.

  18. Article2026Open Access
    Who Moves, Where and Why: Faculty Mobility in Brazil’s Higher Education System(opens in a new tab)

    Carneiro, Ana Maria; Gimenez, Ana Maria Nunes; Capocchi, Eduardo Rodrigues; Bezerra, Luiza Maria Capanema; Ferrero, Luciane Graziele Pereira

    Funded by UNICAMP

    Academic mobility is a central issue in the study of academic professions, shaping career trajectories, institutional dynamics, and the distribution of knowledge production. While international research has explored its determinants and implications, evidence from Global South contexts remains scarce. Brazil, with one of the largest higher education systems in the world, provides a valuable case to examine how institutional, sociodemographic, and policy factors shape academic mobility. This study investigates the employment trajectories of professors affiliated with Brazilian higher education institutions between 2003 and 2021, based on microdata from the Annual Social Information Report (RAIS). The analysis accounts for gender, age, degree, institutional type, distance, and remuneration. Nearly half of faculty (46.9%) experienced at least one mobility event, but mobility is highly segmented: it is concentrated in teaching-intensive private institutions, while research-intensive and graduate-oriented public universities exhibit markedly lower mobility and stronger retention. Most moves occur within the same institutional segment, suggesting barriers to entry and circular mobility within less prestigious tiers. Spatial mobility is likewise concentrated: 62.6% of moves occur within 0–50 km and 28.1% within 50–500 km, with evidence of greater geographic anchoring later in the career. Salary effects are asymmetric by direction: transitions from public to private institutions are associated with short-term wage losses, whereas moves from private to public institutions show sizable gains that materialize more gradually. The study contributes original evidence to the international literature on academic mobility, while also highlighting data limitations in Brazil. It calls for complementary qualitative research and deeper exploration of labor precarization in the private sector.

  19. Article2026
    Phylogenomics and trait evolution illuminate the diversification and systematics of Discocactus (Cactaceae)(opens in a new tab)

    Telhe, Milena C.; Taylor, Nigel P.; Romeiro‐Brito, Monique; Zappi, Daniela C.; Olsthoorn, Gerardus; Digiampietri, Luciano A.; Franco, Fernando F; Moraes, Evandro Marsola

    Funded by FAPESP

    BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Understanding how plant traits mediate adaptation and diversification across contrasting environments remains a major challenge in evolutionary ecology. This gap is especially evident in the Neotropics, where Savannas and Seasonally Dry Tropical Forests (SDTFs), represented here by the Cerrado and Caatinga phytogeographic domains, differ markedly in climate and ecological filters, yet remain underrepresented in trait-based evolutionary studies. Here, we investigated the evolutionary history of Discocactus (Cactaceae) to identify which morphological characters are associated with species occurrence across these contrasting biomes and to place these patterns within a phylogenetic and temporal framework. METHODS: We generated a time-calibrated phylogenomic hypothesis for Discocactus using the Cactaceae591 probe set and integrated predictive machine learning, ancestral state reconstruction, and phylogenetic comparative analyses to identify morphological characters associated with species occurrence in the Savanna and SDTF biomes. KEY RESULTS: We recovered the first dated phylogeny for Discocactus, providing evidence for the recognition of 16 distinct species, including the reinstatement of D. boomianus. Divergence-time analyses indicate that the genus originated in the Pliocene and diversified rapidly during the Plio-Pleistocene transition, particularly within a major Savanna-associated clade. Across analyses, flower length and stem diameter emerged as the main morphological characters associated with biome occupancy. Both characters also showed significant associations with climatic variation in phylogenetically informed regression analyses, with SDTF species tending to have shorter flowers and smaller stems than Savanna species. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide a robust phylogenomic framework for interpreting diversification in Discocactus and show that morphological differentiation within the genus is associated with ecological contrasts between Neotropical SDTF and Savanna biomes. By integrating phylogenomics, predictive modeling, and phylogenetic comparative methods, this study highlights how genomic and trait-based approaches can help explain character evolution and diversification across contrasting environments.